NFL Wins Pool Update
Last updated December 17, 2024
Standings
| Rank | Team | Wins | Remaining Games | Win % | Win % Rank | Projected Wins (FPI) | Projected Rank (FPI) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Andrew Moeller | 29 | 9 | 69.0% | 1 | 34.0 | 1 |
| 2 | Luke Phelan | 28 | 9 | 66.7% | 2 | 32.8 | 2 |
| 3 | Karl Loiseau | 25 | 9 | 59.5% | 3 | 29.4 | 3 |
| 4 | Andrew Batchelor | 22 | 9 | 52.4% | 4 | 26.9 | 4 |
| 5 | Matt Hogel | 21 | 9 | 50.0% | 5 | 26.0 | 5 |
| 6 | Dan Ellenberger | 20 | 9 | 47.6% | 6 | 24.5 | 6 |
| 7 | Steve Creaser | 19 | 9 | 45.2% | 7 | 22.5 | 8 |
| 7 | Gavin Gray | 19 | 9 | 45.2% | 7 | 23.6 | 7 |
| 9 | Mike Thorne | 18 | 9 | 42.9% | 9 | 22.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Nick Boucher | 17 | 9 | 40.5% | 10 | 22.0 | 10 |
- Projected wins taken from ESPN FPI projections.
Expanded Standings
| Team | Wins |
Projected Wins |
Next Opponent |
Win Probability in Next Game |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moeller | ||||
| Buffalo Bills | 11 | 13.3 | NE | 0.88 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 10 | 11.4 | BAL | 0.30 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 8 | 9.3 | MIN | 0.39 |
| Luke Phelan | ||||
| Green Bay Packers | 10 | 12.1 | NO | 0.87 |
| Denver Broncos | 9 | 10.2 | LAC | 0.41 |
| Houston Texans | 9 | 10.5 | KC | 0.55 |
| Karl Loiseau | ||||
| Minnesota Vikings | 12 | 13.4 | SEA | 0.61 |
| Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 11.0 | PIT | 0.70 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 5.0 | DET | 0.28 |
| Andrew Batchelor | ||||
| Washington Commanders | 9 | 10.6 | PHI | 0.38 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7 | 8.9 | NYG | 0.81 |
| San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 7.4 | MIA | 0.46 |
| Matt Hogel | ||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 13 | 14.7 | HOU | 0.45 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 6 | 7.8 | TEN | 0.64 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 3.5 | JAX | 0.54 |
| Dan Ellenberger | ||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 12 | 14.2 | WAS | 0.62 |
| Miami Dolphins | 6 | 7.5 | SF | 0.54 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 2.8 | ATL | 0.19 |
| Gavin Gray | ||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 8 | 9.6 | NYJ | 0.62 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 7 | 8.7 | CAR | 0.66 |
| New York Jets | 4 | 5.3 | LA | 0.38 |
| Steve Creaser | ||||
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 9.8 | DEN | 0.59 |
| Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 6.9 | TB | 0.36 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 5.8 | GB | 0.13 |
| Mike Thorne | ||||
| Detroit Lions | 12 | 14.0 | CHI | 0.72 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3 | 4.3 | LV | 0.46 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 4.2 | IND | 0.36 |
| Nick Boucher | ||||
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8 | 10.3 | DAL | 0.64 |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 7.6 | CLE | 0.75 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 4.1 | CIN | 0.25 |
- Win probability calculated from covers.com odds
Weekly Head-to-Heads
Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first
place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely
contested
Strength of Schedule in the coming weeks
Draft Analysis
| Team | Wins |
Draft Spot |
Expected Wins |
Performance vs. Expectation |
Better Choices |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Moeller | |||||
| Buffalo Bills | 11 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 1 |
| Seattle Seahawks | 8 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 3 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 10 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| Luke Phelan | |||||
| Green Bay Packers | 10 | 7 | 10 | 0 | 2 |
| Houston Texans | 9 | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 |
| Denver Broncos | 9 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Karl Loiseau | |||||
| Baltimore Ravens | 9 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 4 |
| Chicago Bears | 4 | 18 | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| Minnesota Vikings | 12 | 25 | 4 | 8 | 0 |
| Andrew Batchelor | |||||
| San Francisco 49ers | 6 | 2 | 12 | -6 | 14 |
| Atlanta Falcons | 7 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
| Washington Commanders | 9 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| Matt Hogel | |||||
| Kansas City Chiefs | 13 | 1 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 6 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 2 | 27 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| Dan Ellenberger | |||||
| Philadelphia Eagles | 12 | 3 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
| Miami Dolphins | 6 | 13 | 8 | -2 | 9 |
| New York Giants | 2 | 30 | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| Steve Creaser | |||||
| Dallas Cowboys | 6 | 9 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 8 | 14 | 8 | 0 | 4 |
| New Orleans Saints | 5 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Gavin Gray | |||||
| Los Angeles Rams | 8 | 10 | 9 | -1 | 5 |
| New York Jets | 4 | 12 | 8 | -4 | 11 |
| Arizona Cardinals | 7 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| Mike Thorne | |||||
| Detroit Lions | 12 | 5 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 3 | 15 | 8 | -5 | 11 |
| Tennessee Titans | 3 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Nick Boucher | |||||
| Cincinnati Bengals | 6 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 12 |
| Cleveland Browns | 3 | 19 | 6 | -3 | 7 |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 8 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
Draft Results
